If the iPad 2nd-gen gets a Retina display, what will the resolution be?
Original iPhone: 480 x 320 = 153,600 pixels at 165 PPI
iPhone 4: 960 x 640 = 614,400 pixels at 330 PPI
With a 3.5-inch display, this makes an indescribably huge difference in the legibility and crispness of what's displayed, and is an otherwise unheard of number of pixels in a screen that size. But in the macro sense, 960 x 640 is not an absolutely mammoth number of pixels for a device to render. This is why the same hardware Apple uses in the iPhone 4 is used in the iPad (at 1024 x 768) and the Apple TV (at 1280 x 720).
Now, the Retina display was so named because Apple found that "there's a magic number right around 300 pixels per inch that... is the limit of the human retina to differentiate the pixels."* This assumes holding the device about a foot from your eyes, but I think most people tend hold their phone and their iPad at roughly the same distance (between 15 and 20 inches), it it's probably fair to assume that the iPad retina display should still be somewhere around 300 PPI.
Since the pixel density of the iPad wasn't as great as the original iPhone's, if you were to keep the screen size the same and simply double the iPad's resolution (the same way Apple simply doubled the iPhone's resolution) it actually wouldn't get you to Apple's magic retina number. The iPad at 2x (well, really 4x) would be 2048 x 1536, or 263 PPI.
However, using standard resolution increments, one can still achieve an almost identical PPI to the iPhone 4 on the iPad at a stunning 2560 x 1920 pixels, or the same 330 PPI as in the iPhone 4.
Maybe 2560 x 1920 doesn't sound like a lot, but it should. Let's put that in context with the kinds of high resolutions you get on some professional-grade desktop products:
MacBook Pro 15-inch = 1440 x 900
Macbook Pro 15-inch high-res = 1680 x 1050
Macbook Pro 17-inch = 1920 x 1200
Dell 24-inch monitor = 1920 x 1200
Apple 27-inch Cinema Display = 2560 x 1440
Think about that for a moment: a 9.7-inch screen that displays more visual information than two high res 24-inch monitors stacked on top of one another. Even if it was a simple doubling of the dimensions to 2048 x 1536 -- probably the most likely scenario, considering how Apple handled things with the iPhone 4 -- that is still a hell of a lot of pixels.
Given where we are today with display bus speeds, portable video hardware, LCD screen technology, etc. would this even be possible to do in the first half of 2011? Honestly, it's hard to say because nothing like this has ever existed in the portable device space, nor have there been many leaps forward the order of magnitude required to make this work. Try to put that kind of resolution in perspective: think about the kind of rig required for a computer to play even a slightly older 3D game at full resolution on 24-inch or 27-inch monitor. Even to do mundane stuff like display desktop apps would require far more than today's highest in mobile video chips.
The thing is, it's crystal clear where Apple WANTS to go with their displays. If Apple could create a proper Retina display for the iPad at an affordable price, I have no doubt they'd do it in a heartbeat. But for 2011 I'm just not so sure we're going to get an iPad with a display and hardware capable of that resolution. I hope I'm wrong, but given what's out there today, I think the technological leap required to make a 9.7-inch 2560 x 1920 or 2048 x 1536 display possible isn't right around the corner.
* From Steve's WWDC 2010 keynote; skip to about 36:30 minutes for the Retina display introduction.
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I think the next increase in size will be a true doubling of resolution, but that it won't happen for the next iPad. I'd guess it'll happen for the third gen.
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On the one hand, you can look at the 11" MacBook Air, and realize that it's nVidia GPU can support 2560 by 1600 pixels. It's not "2560 x 1920"; it is 16 x 10 rather than 4 x 3. Remove the keyboard and trackpad from the MBAir, shrink it a little bit, add a Retina Display, and you would have a 2.? pound tablet that costs more than twice as much as the iPad, with less than half the battery life. Would that sell? This iPad "RD" would have a Core 2 Duo capable of running Mac OS X. Would that sell? I doubt it.
On the other hand, you can look at what you think would sell. According to Steve & Co. that's an iPhone sized device. According to Dell it's 5"; according to Samsung it's 7"; .... W e should know "Real Soon Now".
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Seeing as how it's somewhat rare to see a machine with 1920x1080 in a 15" (what my EliteBook has), fitting something like that into an iPad at 10" would be pretty insane. I'd love to see them do that though because it looks so sharp on this machine, that on a 10" screen it would look fantastic. Plus it would give them the option to play back 1080p clips at full-res.
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I haven't seen the keynote in a while, but from what I remember about Steve's 300ppi comment was that 300ppi threshold was regarding smartphones. 300ppi surely isn't the magic number for pixel differentiation on say - a HDTV, right? Apple will probably tell you the 300ppi number is right for a smartphone since you hold it at a given length from your face. Tablets are held a little bit further from your face in normal use, so the ppi restriction is less. In my opinion, they can still market a Retina display for devices with variable PPI relative to their screen sizes. They can do whatever they want really, others say that 477ppi is the real number for a device 12 inches away from your face (see Soneira on iPhone4 wiki page).
I also disagree where some comments imply "it needs to scale 2x or fail". Hardware upscaling doesn't imply it will look terrible. Why is pixel-to-pixel mapping so important on a display were you can barely make out the pixels anyways? I could be wrong here and if I am please tell me why. I don't think a 1.25x or 1.5x iPad is out of the question, the latter arguably marketable as Retina display. Again, probably not 2011, but when their iterate their processor and display tech advances.
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That being said, both the iPhone 4 and iPad have had supply issues, tied directly to the screen manufacturer and their ability to provide the amount of screens to meet demand. They had mentioned they could have sold at least twice as many iPhones if they had the screens. Now imagine the demand of a retina display iPad, which is like 4 iPhones in one. (not to mention that it is more difficult to get error free LCD's the larger they become).
The second fact would be the App Store, which is heavily involved. I think they are still reeling from a bit of disorganization that the two different App resolutions that were created. I think they need a year or so to create a standardized 1024 X 768, or something that is common between the iPhone 4 and iPad. Then have some sort of algorithm (whether its hardware or software) that downgrades app resolution to work on iPhone 3GS and below.
After they streamline these inconsistencies, I think they will introduce a higher resolution iPad, but I doubt it will be 9.7. Even thought Jobs talks smack about smaller screen sizes in a tablet (like 7"), I think the iPad will shrink a bit, to allow normal people to hold it one handed, like a magazine, and be a bit smaller, to support a doubling of the 1024X768, or something that works well with App developers.
The next iPad? Same screen resolution, but with cameras (because of facetime and everyone wining about them being available on other devices), and some way to keep the weight down, like carbon fibre, or a lighter glass)
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It's strange that everyone expected Apple would eventually go to 800 x 480 or similar, but this would have distorted the UI and required devs to resubmit new art. By going with the pixel double solution they have set a really high bar for themselves and everyone else, now it remains to be seen when the tech will catch up with their ambition
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Now....considering that an iPad doesn't have many of the issues that a computer has, and that Apple is designing and fabricating it's own processors, it MAY be less of a problem than we think to write that much data to the screen. I'm pretty happy with the display on the iPad right now. Watching movies and TV (Hulu/Netflix) is pretty amazing. Anything better would be REALLY amazing. I'd rather see Apple keep the resolution the same, and increase the processor speed so we could have BETTER gaming and 3D (cg, not stereo) Apps.
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I'm going to guess that while an increased ppi would be cool, it's not in the cards and frankly may not be as needed as we think. Sure it'd be nice to have, but on an ipad most webpages, even "full pages", are rendered fine; we don't need to zoom in as much like on our mobile phones. Plus now they can market it has a true widescreen 720p device and we all know Apple likes to overly emphasize basic info.
Unless LG has something hidden in their new IPS panels, I just don't think we will see that much of a higher resolution. I'm hoping and guessing there will be a front facing camera, I mean Facetime. Facetimeeeeee. Battery levels will be improved and by that I mean either a more efficient chip, or they are using a relatively new updated battery which will accept more charging cycles. It will be lighter, not by much, but they will find a way to make it lighter. I'm going to say somehow even though their acquisition was recent, liquidmetal will find a way into the process.
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Of course, that's not factoring in potential OS issues, Apps, etc., that might have to be modified.
The other thing is the language in talking about the display that's been circulating. It's not clearly talking about a better resolution, but a better display. That could be improved color, better daylight viewing (since that's been a big part of the Kindle marketing campaign), or something else relating the touch interface.
If Apple wanted to better position themselves again the two possible competitors: Android tabs (decent ones, like the GS) and eBook readers, they'd want better reading technology (see above) and a FFC (which I think at this point is a no brainer with Facetime in place). Everything else is kind of in place (apps, media sharing, etc.)
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The video-phone feature (probably FaceTime) is expected to benefit Apple iPad's webcam suppliers, while iPad 2 may adopt smaller size panels featuring thinner glass. The USB feature will allow the device to be more connection friendly, while Apple's "Retina Display" technology will enhance image and color output performance. The 3-axis gyroscopes will enhance gaming, added the paper.
www.digitimes.com/NewsShow/NewsSearch.asp?DocID=PB...
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I think they could even decrease the bezel size on top and bottom ever so slightly (need to keep handles for landscape use) to avoid increasing the overall phone's size much.
Then again, it's already crazy small and thin, but it would be a very incremental improvement.
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It's still early to say this for sure, but it's a pretty good leading indicator -- whenever this kind of data gets pulled out of the SDK it tends to be very reliable as it's coming right from Apple's engineering teams.
www.9to5mac.com/47070/ipad-2-will-take-pics-shoot-...
www.9to5mac.com/47248/is-this-the-ipad-2s-camera-a...
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